Berazategui vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 1
BER
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
BER
2 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 1
BER
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
BER
0 - 1
LAF
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DAL
1 - 0
BER
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
VSC
1 - 0
SAC
60%
25%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
VSC
20%
26%
55%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 3
VSC
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VSC
2 - 0
EXC
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 1
VSC
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |