Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
81.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bentleigh Greens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 3
EDG
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 1
BEN
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
HEU
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
HUM
0 - 1
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
MEL
27%
23%
51%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATM
15%
26%
60%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
JUV
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
JEO
2 - 1
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |