Champions League 1/16
Global 8-1
Benfica vs Valur Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SAN
0 - 1
SLB
10%
16%
74%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 1
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 0
SLB
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
27%
24%
50%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SLB
4 - 1
BEL
88%
8%
3%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 0
SLB
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1968 |
VAL
4 - 2
FRA
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1968 |
KRR
2 - 1
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 0
KEF
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1968 |
IBA
2 - 2
VAL
55%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |