Benfica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
BMA
1 - 3
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2001 |
FCP
4 - 0
SLB
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
SLB
5 - 1
AVE
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
UDL
0 - 0
BOA
25%
27%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
EST
1 - 2
UDL
39%
28%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
UDL
0 - 0
SPB
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BMA
3 - 1
UDL
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |