Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 4
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
SCP
0 - 0
VST
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
SCP
1 - 0
SAN
68%
21%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 0
SCP
17%
22%
62%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 1
GFC
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |