Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
STU
0 - 2
SLB
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
46%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
STU
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
SCP
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 2
GLA
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
46%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 1
SCP
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
OLH
2 - 2
SCP
16%
24%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |