Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
APO
0 - 4
SLB
25%
20%
55%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
SCP
7 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
LEX
2 - 7
SCP
18%
18%
64%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
8 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |