Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 1
SLB
11%
21%
69%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
SLB
1 - 2
CSK
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 1
POR
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SLB
5 - 0
BEL
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HOF
1 - 2
SPB
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VST
2 - 0
SPB
24%
29%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 2
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |