Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
DUK
0 - 3
SLB
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BMA
2 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
58%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
AND
3 - 0
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
SPB
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 2
SPB
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |