Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
SLB
2 - 2
HAL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BOA
1 - 0
SLB
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
HAL
2 - 1
SLB
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
UDL
1 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SPB
1 - 1
ALV
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
BOA
1 - 2
SPB
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
SPB
3 - 2
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
EST
0 - 1
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |