Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
18%
28%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
SLB
2 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
DNI
0 - 3
SLB
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 2
FCP
23%
30%
47%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
31%
31%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |