Benfica vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 0
GFC
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
SCP
2 - 0
SLB
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
SLB
2 - 1
LIE
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
LIE
1 - 3
SLB
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
GRO
0 - 1
RJC
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
RJC
1 - 1
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
RKC
2 - 0
RJC
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
NKO
2 - 0
RJC
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 1
RJC
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |