Benfica vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
SPC
1 - 2
SLB
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SLB
9 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
PAR
4 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
POR
2 - 1
BEL
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SPC
1 - 0
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
POR
2 - 2
ACA
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |