Primeira Liga Round 29

Benfica vs Marítimo analysis

Benfica Marítimo
89 ELO 77
18.6% Tilt -0.1%
107º General ELO ranking 1092º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
80.8%
Benfica
12.8%
Draw
6.4%
Marítimo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
Benfica
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.4%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benfica
+17%
-10%
Marítimo

ELO progression

Benfica
Marítimo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2017
MOR
Moreirense
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
13%
22%
65%
88 71 17 0
05 Apr. 2017
SLB
Benfica
3 - 3
Estoril
EST
81%
13%
6%
88 76 12 0
01 Apr. 2017
SLB
Benfica
1 - 1
Porto
FCP
59%
22%
19%
88 87 1 0
18 Mar. 2017
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
18%
23%
59%
88 78 10 0
13 Mar. 2017
SLB
Benfica
4 - 0
Os Belenenses
BEL
83%
12%
5%
88 74 14 0

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2017
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 1
Chaves
CHA
51%
25%
24%
77 75 2 0
02 Apr. 2017
SPB
Sporting Braga
3 - 3
Marítimo
MAR
61%
21%
18%
77 81 4 0
19 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marítimo
3 - 1
Arouca
ARO
55%
25%
20%
77 72 5 0
12 Mar. 2017
BOA
Boavista
3 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
35%
28%
38%
76 75 1 +1
05 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
53%
25%
21%
76 72 4 0