Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 1
GFC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 1
SLB
65%
20%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
SLB
0 - 1
CHL
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 4
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VST
1 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
FEI
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |