Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
SLB
0 - 0
INT
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
RBK
2 - 1
SLB
49%
23%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 1
MOR
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
RBK
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 2
UDL
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAÇ
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |