Benfica vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPB
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
50%
26%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
SLB
5 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
RCH
1 - 1
GKS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
WLO
3 - 0
RCH
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
RCH
1 - 1
SLA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
SOK
2 - 1
RCH
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
RCH
1 - 1
WIS
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |