Benfica vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.7%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.8%
1.4%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SLB
7 - 0
PAÇ
70%
18%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
OLI
1 - 0
GON
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
GON
0 - 0
OLI
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |