Europa League . 1/16
Global 4-5
Benfica vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
GFC
0 - 1
SLB
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SLB
0 - 1
SPB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
SLB
13%
20%
68%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
42%
25%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
VEN
73%
16%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 2
SON
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |