Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
SSW
0 - 4
SLB
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
FCP
1 - 3
SLB
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1971 |
SCP
4 - 1
SLB
47%
24%
28%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1971 |
SLB
5 - 1
TIR
91%
6%
2%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1971 |
TIR
1 - 3
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
FAB
4 - 0
TIR
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
FCB
3 - 0
FAB
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
FAB
2 - 1
TIR
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 1
FAB
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |