Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
SLB
0 - 2
BAS
51%
22%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
SLB
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
EST
0 - 3
BOA
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |