Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
KSK
0 - 3
SLB
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
DZG
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SLB
3 - 3
RIO
71%
19%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
EST
5 - 0
BMA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |