Benfica vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEL
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
STJ
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
FCB
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
CEL
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
5 - 0
STJ
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |