Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 2
ASA
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
ASA
0 - 4
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
UFT
0 - 4
SLB
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
BEL
4 - 0
LUS
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LUS
0 - 5
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 1
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |