Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 2
SLB
42%
21%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
74%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
69%
17%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SPC
1 - 3
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
VST
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ATL
0 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |