Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAB
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 2
ASA
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
58%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
ACA
5 - 0
VIT
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
FER
0 - 1
ACA
30%
21%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |