Benfica Sub 23 vs Estoril Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
3º
1º
17
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BES
5 - 1
EST
78%
14%
7%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BES
3 - 0
MAF
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 7
BES
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BES
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
BES
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
FAR
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 3
LEX
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |