UEFA Youth League Grupo E. Jor. 1

Benfica U19 vs Bayern München Sub 19 analysis

Benfica U19 Bayern München Sub 19
46 ELO 23
-3.5% Tilt 6%
3557º General ELO ranking 8169º
46º Country ELO ranking 351º
ELO win probability
73%
Benfica U19
16.7%
Draw
10.3%
Bayern München Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
Benfica U19
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.3%
Win probability
Bayern München Sub 19
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benfica U19
+11%
-16%
Bayern München Sub 19

ELO progression

Benfica U19
Bayern München Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica U19
Benfica U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2017
BEN
Benfica U19
0 - 0
FC Basel Sub 19
BAS
64%
20%
16%
46 35 11 0
22 Nov. 2017
CSK
CSKA Moskva Sub 19
2 - 0
Benfica U19
BEN
12%
18%
70%
48 32 16 -2
31 Oct. 2017
MUD
Man Utd U19
1 - 1
Benfica U19
BEN
10%
16%
73%
48 29 19 0
18 Oct. 2017
BEN
Benfica U19
2 - 2
Man Utd U19
MUD
75%
16%
9%
49 28 21 -1
27 Sep. 2017
BAS
FC Basel Sub 19
2 - 2
Benfica U19
BEN
11%
17%
72%
49 31 18 0

Matches

Bayern München Sub 19
Bayern München Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2018
FRE
Freiburg Sub 19
4 - 4
Bayern München Sub 19
BYM
17%
21%
62%
24 13 11 0
24 Aug. 2018
BYM
Bayern München Sub 19
0 - 2
Kaiserslautern Sub 19
KAI
77%
14%
9%
26 17 9 -2
18 Aug. 2018
FSV
FSV Frankfurt Sub 19
0 - 1
Bayern München Sub 19
BYM
7%
13%
80%
26 9 17 0
15 Aug. 2018
BYM
Bayern München Sub 19
3 - 1
Ingolstadt Sub 19
ING
83%
11%
6%
26 17 9 0
11 Aug. 2018
HOF
Hoffenheim Sub 19
0 - 5
Bayern München Sub 19
BYM
61%
20%
20%
24 26 2 +2
X