Benfica II vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
BEN
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 2
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
POR
3 - 1
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
VSC
1 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 2
PEN
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
FAM
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 0
FAM
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 3
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 0
FAM
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |