Benevento U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
41
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PIS
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 3
LAZ
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 2
VIR
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
BEN
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
5 - 0
USV
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 0
PES
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TER
2 - 3
CRO
25%
22%
54%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAL
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
REG
0 - 2
CRO
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
ASC
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |