Ben Hur vs Aprendices Casildenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 0
BHU
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BHU
2 - 1
AQR
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 0
BHU
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
BHU
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
PAT
2 - 0
BHU
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aprendices Casildenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
APR
2 - 1
ADE
24%
23%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
APR
1 - 4
AGU
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |