US Ben Guerdane vs AS Kasserine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
BEN
2 - 2
USM
19%
27%
54%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
LPT
2 - 1
BEN
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 2
EAM
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEN
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kasserine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 1
STA
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
USM
1 - 1
LAN
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 2
LAN
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LAN
1 - 0
OLY
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |