Belper Town FC vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
COA
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
ILK
0 - 1
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
SHE
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 1
SHE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
KID
1 - 1
NEW
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 3
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
LEE
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |