V AFG . Jor. 21

Belitsa vs Spartak Varna analysis

Belitsa Spartak Varna
28 ELO 51
-2% Tilt 1.1%
23355º General ELO ranking 1771º
144º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
18.3%
Belitsa
23.5%
Draw
58.3%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
Belitsa
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.3%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Belitsa
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belitsa
Belitsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2011
RAS
Rapid
1 - 0
Belitsa
BEL
45%
24%
31%
30 28 2 0
13 Mar. 2011
BEL
Belitsa
3 - 0
Shabla
SHA
47%
24%
30%
28 29 1 +2
06 Mar. 2011
VEL
Veliki Preslav
1 - 0
Belitsa
BEL
31%
24%
45%
29 22 7 -1
28 Nov. 2010
SUV
Suvorovo
3 - 0
Belitsa
BEL
45%
24%
32%
30 29 1 -1
21 Nov. 2010
BEL
Belitsa
0 - 1
Chernolomets 1919
CHE
70%
18%
12%
31 21 10 -1

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2011
FTT
Topoli
0 - 3
Spartak Varna
SVA
16%
23%
61%
51 25 26 0
13 Mar. 2011
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Rapid
RAS
79%
15%
7%
51 29 22 0
06 Mar. 2011
SHA
Shabla
0 - 3
Spartak Varna
SVA
20%
24%
56%
50 30 20 +1
28 Nov. 2010
VEL
Veliki Preslav
1 - 3
Spartak Varna
SVA
15%
23%
62%
50 22 28 0
21 Nov. 2010
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Suvorovo
SUV
77%
15%
8%
50 29 21 0
X