Primeira Liga round 22

Os Belenenses vs Porto analysis

Os Belenenses Porto
72 ELO 89
-3.7% Tilt -8.7%
3363º General ELO ranking 109º
57º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.7%
Os Belenenses
26.1%
Draw
54.2%
Porto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
Os Belenenses
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
54.2%
Win probability
Porto
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Os Belenenses
+8%
-5%
Porto

ELO progression

Os Belenenses
Porto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Os Belenenses
Os Belenenses
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2006
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
47%
27%
26%
72 71 1 0
29 Jan. 2006
BEL
Os Belenenses
5 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
60%
23%
17%
71 63 8 +1
21 Jan. 2006
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
51%
26%
23%
71 73 2 0
14 Jan. 2006
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
22%
23%
55%
71 85 14 0
06 Jan. 2006
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 2
Gil Vicente
GFC
55%
25%
20%
72 70 2 -1

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2006
FCP
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
66%
21%
13%
88 79 9 0
29 Jan. 2006
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 0
Porto
FCP
21%
26%
53%
88 74 14 0
21 Jan. 2006
FCP
Porto
1 - 0
Naval
NAV
71%
19%
10%
88 65 23 0
15 Jan. 2006
EST
CF Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Porto
FCP
18%
26%
56%
88 67 21 0
11 Jan. 2006
NAV
Naval
1 - 2
Porto
FCP
20%
27%
53%
89 66 23 -1