Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 Normal Season Round 1

Belenenses U19 vs Nacional U19 analysis

Belenenses U19 Nacional U19
29 ELO 26
-5% Tilt 3%
5544º General ELO ranking 7010º
113º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
54.6%
Belenenses U19
20.9%
Draw
24.5%
Nacional U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
Belenenses U19
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.5%
Win probability
Nacional U19
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belenenses U19
+66%
-4%
Nacional U19

ELO progression

Belenenses U19
Nacional U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belenenses U19
Belenenses U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
BLN
Belenenses U19
0 - 2
Vilafranquense U19
VIL
91%
7%
2%
30 9 21 0
21 Aug. 2021
UNI
União Leiria U19
2 - 3
Belenenses U19
BLN
5%
11%
84%
30 7 23 0
14 Aug. 2021
BEN
Benfica U19
3 - 0
Belenenses U19
BLN
88%
9%
3%
30 54 24 0
13 Jun. 2021
BLN
Belenenses U19
0 - 3
Braga U19
BRG
12%
19%
69%
33 51 18 -3
29 May. 2021
OPO
Porto U19
4 - 1
Belenenses U19
BLN
83%
12%
5%
34 52 18 -1

Matches

Nacional U19
Nacional U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2021
ACA
Académica Coimbra U19
2 - 0
Nacional U19
NAC
39%
22%
39%
28 24 4 0
07 Mar. 2020
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira U19
4 - 1
Nacional U19
NAC
67%
18%
16%
29 37 8 -1
01 Mar. 2020
NAC
Nacional U19
1 - 1
Desportivo Aves U19
AVE
24%
20%
56%
29 38 9 0
23 Feb. 2020
GUI
Vitória Guimarães U19
1 - 1
Nacional U19
NAC
82%
13%
6%
29 46 17 0
16 Feb. 2020
NAC
Nacional U19
0 - 1
Gil Vicente U19
GFC
36%
22%
42%
30 35 5 -1