Belasica vs Aresimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
9º
40
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
89% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
77% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belasica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
KGE
4 - 2
BEL
31%
26%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
VAR
21%
26%
54%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TET
3 - 2
BEL
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEL
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
FKS
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aresimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 0
FKS
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VOK
3 - 1
ARE
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 2
GOS
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
ARE
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARE
2 - 1
SAS
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |