Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 0
BEI
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
BEI
1 - 1
DAL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
CHO
0 - 0
BEI
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
SIC
0 - 0
BEI
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1998 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
SHE
1 - 1
CHO
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
SIC
1 - 1
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
SHE
2 - 1
QIN
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
WUH
1 - 2
SHE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
SHE
1 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |