Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenxin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
LIA
0 - 0
BEI
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEI
2 - 0
QIN
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 0
SHA
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 3
BEI
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 3
BEI
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenxin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 2
LIA
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 0
DAL
38%
25%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
QIN
4 - 1
SHA
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SHA
3 - 1
BIT
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |