Chinese Super League Round 16

Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis

Beijing Guoan Shanghai Shenhua
77 ELO 79
-6.2% Tilt -11.3%
454º General ELO ranking 412º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Beijing Guoan
26.7%
Draw
30.6%
Shanghai Shenhua

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Beijing Guoan
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
Shanghai Shenhua
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beijing Guoan
+18%
+13%
Shanghai Shenhua

ELO progression

Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2007
SHA
Shandong Taishan
1 - 6
Beijing Guoan
BEI
71%
18%
11%
77 83 6 0
16 Jun. 2007
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
47%
27%
26%
77 76 1 0
27 May. 2007
BEI
Beijing Guoan
1 - 1
Beijing Renhe
GUI
55%
25%
19%
77 72 5 0
19 May. 2007
CHA
Changchun Yatai
0 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
52%
25%
23%
77 75 2 0
13 May. 2007
BEI
Beijing Guoan
0 - 0
Guangzhou City
GUA
67%
21%
12%
78 62 16 -1

Matches

Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2007
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
3 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
48%
26%
26%
78 76 2 0
17 Jun. 2007
GUI
Beijing Renhe
0 - 2
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
36%
28%
36%
77 71 6 +1
27 May. 2007
CHA
Changchun Yatai
4 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
47%
25%
28%
78 75 3 -1
23 May. 2007
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
6 - 0
Persik Kediri
PER
75%
17%
8%
78 55 23 0
19 May. 2007
GUA
Guangzhou City
1 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
23%
27%
50%
78 62 16 0