Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
BEI
1 - 1
NAG
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
BEI
3 - 1
SHE
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 6
BEI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
BEI
33%
27%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BEI
0 - 0
SHA
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
QIN
2 - 1
CHA
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
QIN
2 - 1
GUI
39%
30%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 0
QIN
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
QIN
2 - 1
CHE
48%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |