CSL . Jor. 16

Beijing Guoan vs Guangzhou FC analysis

Beijing Guoan Guangzhou FC
75 ELO 82
-6.7% Tilt -8.2%
779º General ELO ranking 3500º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
24.2%
Beijing Guoan
24.3%
Draw
51.5%
Guangzhou FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
Beijing Guoan
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.6%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beijing Guoan
+19%
-45%
Guangzhou FC

ELO progression

Beijing Guoan
Guangzhou FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2017
CHA
Changchun Yatai
2 - 1
Beijing Guoan
BEI
29%
29%
42%
75 64 11 0
26 Jun. 2017
BEI
Beijing Guoan
0 - 0
Jiangsu FC
JIA
49%
25%
25%
75 72 3 0
21 Jun. 2017
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
1 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
48%
25%
28%
75 72 3 0
18 Jun. 2017
BEI
Beijing Guoan
2 - 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
61%
23%
17%
75 64 11 0
02 Jun. 2017
CHO
Chongqing Liangjiang
1 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
29%
28%
43%
76 63 13 -1

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2017
TIA
Tianjin Tianhai
4 - 3
Guangzhou FC
GUA
15%
23%
62%
82 67 15 0
25 Jun. 2017
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Hebei FC
HEB
74%
16%
9%
82 70 12 0
21 Jun. 2017
GUA
Guangzhou FC
1 - 0
Hebei FC
HEB
68%
19%
13%
83 70 13 -1
17 Jun. 2017
GUI
Guizhou Zhicheng
0 - 2
Guangzhou FC
GUA
9%
19%
72%
82 60 22 +1
03 Jun. 2017
YAN
Yanbian Longding
1 - 3
Guangzhou FC
GUA
10%
20%
70%
82 60 22 0
X