Begur vs Garriguella A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
BEG
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BEG
4 - 0
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
BEG
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEG
2 - 5
PAL
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEG
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Garriguella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
CIS
40%
21%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
5 - 1
GAR
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
GAR
42%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
GAR
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 2
ESP
42%
21%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |