Bedford Town vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
KID
1 - 1
BED
8%
16%
76%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
STN
1 - 1
BED
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BED
2 - 0
AFD
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
BED
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WAN
0 - 7
BED
7%
15%
78%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 1
BER
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
AYL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
3 - 1
KEM
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
4 - 0
FCR
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 0
AYL
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |