Becerril vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Becerril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
BEC
67%
20%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LVC
0 - 0
BEC
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BEC
0 - 1
TOR
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BEC
1 - 0
STM
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 2
BEC
43%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AST
4 - 1
PEN
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
AST
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 0
AST
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
AST
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AST
2 - 1
STM
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |