Beaufays vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaufays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BEA
4 - 2
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
WEY
1 - 4
BEA
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BEA
2 - 4
CLI
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BEA
0 - 6
PAT
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
BEA
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
22 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 0
WAR
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
HON
1 - 2
WAR
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 1
WEY
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 1
STA
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |