Tercera División RFEF IV - Basque Country Round 28

Beasain KE vs Pasaia KE analysis

Beasain KE Pasaia KE
46 ELO 33
-7.6% Tilt -17.7%
5505º General ELO ranking 8617º
198º Country ELO ranking 428º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Beasain KE
19.6%
Draw
12.1%
Pasaia KE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Beasain KE
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.1%
Win probability
Pasaia KE
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beasain KE
+91%
-32%
Pasaia KE

Points and table prediction

Beasain KE
Their league position
Pasaia KE
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
17º
39
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Basconia
76
76
100%
Portugalete
70
70
100%
Leioa
66
66
100%
Beasain KE
64
64
100%
Deusto
54
54
100%
Deportivo Alavés C
48
48
100%
CD Touring
48
48
100%
CD Derio
47
47
100%
Eibar C
46
46
100%
Aretxabaleta
10º
44
44
10º
100%
CD Lagun Onak
11º
42
42
11º
100%
San Ignacio
12º
42
42
12º
100%
SCD Durango
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Pasaia KE
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Santurtzi
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Urduliz FT
16º
36
36
16º
100%
CD Padura
17º
29
29
17º
100%
San Viator
18º
8
8
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Beasain KE
Pasaia KE
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Beasain KE
Pasaia KE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beasain KE
Beasain KE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
SAN
San Ignacio
0 - 1
Beasain KE
BEA
30%
27%
43%
45 37 8 0
15 Mar. 2025
BEA
Beasain KE
0 - 4
CD Basconia
BAS
36%
26%
38%
46 49 3 -1
08 Mar. 2025
LEI
Leioa
1 - 1
Beasain KE
BEA
47%
25%
28%
46 45 1 0
01 Mar. 2025
BEA
Beasain KE
1 - 0
Aretxabaleta
ATX
69%
19%
12%
46 33 13 0
23 Feb. 2025
CSV
San Viator
2 - 3
Beasain KE
BEA
13%
21%
66%
45 22 23 +1

Matches

Pasaia KE
Pasaia KE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
CDP
CD Padura
1 - 0
Pasaia KE
PAS
21%
25%
54%
35 26 9 0
15 Mar. 2025
PAS
Pasaia KE
0 - 0
San Ignacio
SAN
42%
25%
33%
35 37 2 0
08 Mar. 2025
BAS
CD Basconia
3 - 0
Pasaia KE
PAS
79%
14%
7%
35 49 14 0
01 Mar. 2025
PAS
Pasaia KE
1 - 1
Leioa
LEI
23%
25%
52%
35 45 10 0
23 Feb. 2025
ATX
Aretxabaleta
2 - 1
Pasaia KE
PAS
43%
24%
33%
35 31 4 0