Beasain B vs Bergara KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
71.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beasain B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ATX
3 - 1
BEA
86%
10%
4%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 3
URO
16%
19%
65%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BEA
79%
14%
8%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 1
ZUM
11%
16%
74%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
BEA
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BKE
1 - 0
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
BKE
30%
24%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BKE
2 - 1
BTG
46%
25%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDL
1 - 3
BKE
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BKE
2 - 1
AMA
47%
25%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |