FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 4-4
Bearsted vs Horley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bearsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 2
BEA
58%
20%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SIT
2 - 0
BEA
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BEA
2 - 1
CHI
11%
15%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 1
BEA
77%
14%
10%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 2
BEA
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
TOO
2 - 1
HOR
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
RED
1 - 3
HOR
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
HOR
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
HOR
5 - 1
RAY
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |