FA Trophy 1/512
Global 1-3
Beaconsfield vs Poole Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 2
BEA
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BEA
2 - 1
THA
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 1
BEA
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 2
GOD
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DAV
0 - 1
BEA
52%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
POO
1 - 0
PAU
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
YAT
1 - 3
POO
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
POO
1 - 0
WIM
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 1
POO
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POO
2 - 0
CLE
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |